Hes outperforming Biden across the state and is currently up 8 points in counties that were the closest in 2020. Mutual Fund and ETF data provided by Refinitiv Lipper. The first polls are closing in Indiana and Kentucky. Nov. 8, 2022, The Timess election forecast is now running. Nov. 9, 2022, Cortez Masto is behind in Nevada at the moment, but there are a lot of votes left in Clark and Washoe, counties home to the state's largest cities. Powered and implemented by FactSet Digital Solutions. Frisch, who is Jewish, challenged a member of Congress who espoused Christian nationalist rhetoric and who argued earlier this year that the church is supposed to direct the government.. We certainly didnt think it was gonna be a blowout, Stout said, noting that Frisch has advertised himself as a right-leaning candidate throughout the cycle. (The graphic below will provide the latest vote count.). Source: Election results and race calls are from The Associated Press. Powered and implemented by FactSet Digital Solutions. Lazaro Gamio Nate Cohn The Democrat making a longshot bid to unseat U.S. Rep. Lauren Boebert in Colorado's GOP-leaning 3rd Congressional District argued Tuesday that a new internal poll suggesting he has a real shot of beating the Garfield County Republican should draw more attention to the race and support from deep-pocketed national groups that have so far ignored his candidacy. Boeberts office did not respond to a request for comment. In July, Boebert held a 49%-42% advantage. While theres concern over potential misuse and corruption as it relates to Ukraine aid, the continued support of Kyiv remains a top bipartisan priority. The congresswoman has also been accused of being a QAnon follower, which she denies. Lazaro Gamio But so far, voters are rejecting an effort to deny abortion rights. Feb 25, 2023, 04:25 AM EST | Updated Feb 25, 2023. There. Her Democratic opponent, Frisch, told his supporters to "stay tuned" in a message thanking the volunteers working to count ballots. Races to watch include those in the 17th, 18th, 19th and 22nd Congressional Districts, as well as the contest for governor. Nov. 10, 2022, More than 200,000 Georgia voters cast ballots for Brian Kemp, Republican candidate for governor, but did not vote for Herschel Walker in the Senate race. These mirages show that vote margins early in the night can change significantly. However, the Democratic Party's would-be 51-seat Senate majority was unexpectedly snatched away by Arizona Senator Kyrsten Sinema's decision to switch and register as an independent. Nate Cohn Colorado 3rd District - Boebert vs. Frisch Rating: Likely GOP | 2020 Presidential Results: Trump (R) 54.2, Biden (D) 45.8 RCP Senate Map | Senate Polls | RCP House Map | Generic Vote | RCP . Boebert's message of government overreach during the pandemic, which was a major theme of her 2020 campaign, also still reverberates in Colorado's libertarian corners, including parts of . Mutual Fund and ETF data provided by Refinitiv Lipper. Get live estimates for Senate and House control with our real-time election forecast, which analyzes the results so far to show who is on track to win. Jared Polis and Sen. Michael Bennet skated to reelection. Maggie Astor Asked about the race in Washington, D.C. on Thursday, Boebert pointed to the states elections for governor and Senate, where both Democratic incumbents Gov. or redistributed. Rep. Lauren Boebert, R-Colo., who is in an unexpected tight race with Democratic challenger Adam Frisch, arrives to meet with fellow Republicans behind closed doors as Republicans hold its leadership candidate forum, where everyone running for a post must make their case to the membership, at the Capitol in Washington, Monday, Nov. 14, 2022. Boebert declared on Twitter heading into the Nov. 8 election. Follow along here Rebecca Shabad is a politics reporter for NBC News based in Washington. Vance in the returns, but almost all of the results are early votes, which we expect to disproportionately favor Democrats. . The Republicans Lauren Boebert: The owner of a gun-themed restaurant in Rifle, Boebert parlayed her support of the 2nd amendment, opposition to. You've successfully subscribed to this newsletter! Nov. 9, 2022, House districts rated as tossups have been called mostly in favor of Democrats so far, with one state as a glaring exception: New York. The resolution, which was introduced by Florida Rep. Matt Gaetz (R-FL) earlier this month, claims that by providing aid to Ukraine, the U.S. is inadvertently contributing to civilian casualties. Tens of thousands of civilians have died and millions more have fled Ukraine since Russia started its full-scale invasion of the country on Feb. 24, 2022. That margin was around 0.34% after all the ballots were tabulated. The outcome of the race will not affect which party controls Congress. In North Carolinas Senate race, Representative Ted Budd, a Trump-endorsed Republican, is very likely to win, according to our estimates. Colorado 3rd District: GOP Candidates: Lauren Boebert (Incumbent), Don Coram Dem Candidates: Adam Frisch, Sol Sandoval, Alex Walker 2020 Presidential Results: Trump (R) 54.2, Biden (D) 45.8 Rating . Quotes displayed in real-time or delayed by at least 15 minutes. In a tweet Saturday, Frisch said the race is still waiting on thousands of ballots from active duty military service members, and acknowledged the likelihood of a recount in the race. Boebert drew harsh criticism from Democrats after she and Rep. Marjorie Taylor Greene, R-Ga.,heckled President Joe Bidenat various points of his State of the Union address this year. Because Alaska uses ranked choice voting, we may not know the winner until Nov. 23. More than 200 Republicans who questioned or denied the 2020 election results have won in the midterms so far. Maggie Astor These are only estimates, and they may not be informed by reports from election officials. Alicia Parlapiano Nov. 9, 2022, The feared Democratic collapse along the Rio Grande didnt materialize. By Friday morning, Boebert was ahead by just 550 votes or 50.1% to 49.9% with nearly all the votes counted. Circle size is proportional to the amount each countys leading Mutual Fund and ETF data provided by Refinitiv Lipper. Nov. 8, 2022, These charts show how the reported vote margin (the dashed line) compares with our estimated final margin (the solid line, surrounded by bands of uncertainty) over time. President Biden made a surprise visit to Kyiv last week to underscore Washingtons support for Ukraine in its fight against Russia. Democratic House Candidate Adam Frisch listens to incumbent U.S. Congresswoman Lauren Boebert during a debate at Colorado Mesa University as part of The Club 20 political conference Sept. 10, 2022, in Grand Junction, Colorado. Heres how it works Ron DeSantis won re-election in Florida, cementing Republicans power in a state that was once a key battleground. A recount in Colorado's third district was a near certainty, as Boebert, a Donald Trump loyalist, trailed the businessman and former city council member by just 64 votes out of 313,428 counted . We use early returns and polling data to estimate in real time the outcome of the elections for Senate and House control. . Democrats also won the Governors office, State Senate, and appear poised to take the State Assembly, and voters affirmed abortion rights in the state. These maps show the leading candidates margins in the reported vote and estimates for which candidate leads in the remaining votes that we expect from each county. Democratic Senator Chris Murphy (D-CT) singled out Republicans who want to end U.S. support for Ukraine during a recent floor speech, saying those are the same members who are trying to destroy American democracy. , Greg Landsman, Democrat, wins U.S. House seat to represent Ohios First Congressional District. , Vicente Gonzalez, Democrat, wins re-election to the U.S. House to represent Texas 34th Congressional District. In Gallup polls over the past three years, the percentage favoring stricter gun sales laws has gone from 52% to 66% to 57%. Representative Lauren Boebert, one of former President Donald J. Trumps most ardent supporters, is facing Adam Frisch, a Democrat, and several independent candidates running as write-ins. The firebrand congresswoman won her election by a similar margin that year, defeating her Democratic challenger 51.4 percent to 45.2 percent. At the latest drop around 10:13 a.m. Friday, Boebert led with 162,040 votes to Frisch's 160,918, results for the 3rd Congressional District show, and that remained unchanged over the weekend . John Duarte, Republican, wins U.S. House seat to represent Californias 13th Congressional District. Greg Abbott brushed off a well-funded challenge from Beto ORourke, winning a third term as Texas governor. Republicans have flipped four House seats in New York, two districts on Long Island and two in the Hudson Valley. Your guide to the midterm results, from Times reporters, Democrats held onto or gained trifectas in a number of states and fended off Republican supermajorities in others. Frisch ran against the Trump-endorsed Republican firebrand by painting himself as a moderate choice, calling Boebert "part of the MAGA extremism.". Susan Wild, Democrat, wins re-election to the U.S. House to represent Pennsylvanias Seventh Congressional District. California, Michigan, Kentucky and Montana also have abortion referendums on the ballot. MCCARTHY WINS GOP NOMINATION FOR HOUSE SPEAKER, Rep. Lauren Boebert, R-Colo., addresses attendees at the Turning Point USA Student Action Summit in Tampa, Florida, on July 23, 2022. , Katie Hobbs, an election official who stood up to allies of Donald Trump, beat his Republican pick for Arizonas governor, Kari Lake. Quotes displayed in real-time or delayed by at least 15 minutes. Follow our live analysis and the latest updates. This material may not be published, broadcast, rewritten, or redistributed. NBC News has not yet projected a winner in this race. , Josh Shapiro, a Democrat, defeated Doug Mastriano, a Trump-backed election denier, in the race for Pennsylvanias governor. However the state already bans abortions, and that is unlikely to change. County canvass boards have until Nov. 30 to submit official votes cast. "Our conservative policies will help all Americans to overcome the challenges we face so each of us has the opportunity to live our very best life," she tweeted. The race garnered national attention because Boebert was largely considered a lock for reelection after redistricting made the sprawling 3rd Congressional District that covers much of western Colorado more Republican. Boebert's campaign dismissed word of the poll's results. Lauren Boebert received 51 percent of the vote in 2020, she did not win her home county, those that know her dont care for her and a lot more people know her now that did before, Frisch said. Mutual Fund and ETF data provided by Refinitiv Lipper. When all was said and done, the GOP emerged with a razor-thin 222-seat majority in the House while Democrats gained a seat in the Senate. (AP Photo/J. "Republicans have been entrusted with the majority, and we must now prove we can take the temperature down in DC by leading not only with strength but grace," Boebert said Sunday after the counties in her district completed their recounts. We beg voters in western and southern Colorado not to give Rep. Lauren Boebert their vote, the board wrote. Lazaro Gamio , Brad Raffensperger, Republican, is re-elected as Georgias secretary of state. The area is a Democratic stronghold that has opted for Frisch over Boebert in the race by a margin of 54 percent to 46 percent. Boebert's time in Congress she was first elected in 2020 has been characterized by enthusiastic support for former President Trump, attention-grabbing fashion choices and controversial statements that made her a fixture of national media coverage. Republicans aren't buying it. Just a shout out to my Dad who lives in her district and told me last month [Boebert] could lose and I didnt believe him, former White House press secretary Jen Psaki wrote on Twitter, adding in a separate message that the race is huge.. 2023 FOX News Network, LLC. Maura Healey, the newly elected Democratic governor of Massachusetts is the first openly lesbian woman to be elected governor in the United States. Gov. Heres where we think votes remain. Albert Sun Heres the state of the closest races: Alicia Parlapiano (AP Photo/Phelan M. Ebenhack, File), Democrat House Candidate Adam Frisch listens to incumbent U.S. Rep. Lauren Boebert during a debate at Colorado Mesa University as part of The Club 20 political conference in Grand Junction, Colorado, on Sept. 10, 2022. Arizonas Senate race is a currently tossup, according to our estimates. In 2020, Virginias early vote for president favored Republicans, while Pennsylvanias skewed toward Democrats. Under Colorado state law, a mandatory recount occurs when the margin of victory in an election is within half a percentage point. Jocelyn Benson, the Democratic secretary of state who has confronted repeated harassment from far-right election deniers, won re-election to her post in Michigan. , Senator Ron Johnson of Wisconsin, a 2020 election denier, defeated Lt. Gov. Look at me and Speaker Kevin McCarthy.. Among likely Republican voters, support for sending weapons to Ukraine has weakened even more, down to 39% from 53% in May. (RJ Sangosti/MediaNews Group/The Denver Post). Boebert, who won election to the House of Representatives in 2020 after defeating former GOP Rep. Scott Tipton in the Republican primaries, was ahead by just over 1,100 votes on Saturday afternoon, according to election data from The Associated Press. As a rule, when our estimated margin is steady in the presence of new vote data, our forecast is more trustworthy. PAUL RYAN SAYS MCCARTHY WILL CLINCH SPEAKERSHIP, ANYONE NOT NAMED TRUMP CAN BEAT BIDEN. 2023 FOX News Network, LLC. 2023 FOX News Network, LLC. Later Friday, Frisch held a press conference and announced he had called Boebert to concede the race. In Colorado, a measure to decriminalize certain psychedelics is close but yet to be decided. The race was decided by 546 votes . Frisch said that under Colorado law, the closeness of the vote count would likely lead to an automatic recount. THE HILL 1625 K STREET, NW SUITE 900 WASHINGTON DC 20006 | 202-628-8500 TEL | 202-628-8503 FAX. Boebert, a freshman lawmaker, has drawn headlines throughout her two years in Congress for supporting Trumps election fraud claims, refusing to wear a mask on the House floor, and joking that Rep. Ilhan Omar (D-Minn.), a Muslim, might be a suicide bomber. Most polls have closed in Alaska, but Alaska doesnt release results until after its last polls close at 1 a.m. Eastern. Colorado Third Congressional District Election Results, https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2022/11/08/us/elections/results-colorado-us-house-district-3.html. Read more We look at the votes that have been reported so far and adjust our estimate based on what we expect from the votes that remain. Nov. 8, 2022, Arizona has multiple races featuring Republicans who have questioned the legitimacy of the 2020 election. The results have seesawed since the polls closed last Tuesday, with Frisch leading by around 100 votes at one point. Fox News' Chad Pergram provides details on Rep. Kevin McCarthy's effort to become Speaker of the House. , Gov. Ruth Igielnik She will be one of the nations first openly lesbian governors. The Associated Press has deemed the race too close to call and will not do so until a potential recount happens. "The outpouring of support from around the country and even the world since Election Day has been overwhelming & humbling. Nov. 8, 2022, Gov. Nov. 8, 2022, Pennsylvania is home to a close Senate race between Lt. Gov. Nate Cohn , David Valadao, Republican, wins re-election to the U.S. House to represent Californias 22nd Congressional District. Albert Sun Democrats will gain a seat in the new Congress, retaining the power to advance the presidents agenda and his judicial and cabinet picks. David Zalubowski/AP. February 27, 2023. Pollsters that did not release any horse-race polls within three weeks. "I told you all year, the Left would do everything that they possibly could to get rid of me," she added. Rep. Lauren Boebert, R-Colo., attends a House Second Amendment Caucus press conference at the U.S. Capitol June 8, 2022, in Washington, D.C. Democratic House Candidate Adam Frisch listens to incumbent U.S. Congresswoman Lauren Boebert during a debate at Colorado Mesa University as part of The Club 20 political conference Sept. 10, 2022, in Grand Junction, Colorado. Marco Rubio, Republican of Florida, wins re-election to the U.S. Senate. . He ran against what he called her "angertainment," saying he would not back U.S. House Speaker Nancy Pelosi as party leader and described himself as a nonpartisan problem-solver. , Dina Titus, Democrat, wins re-election to the U.S. House to represent Nevadas First Congressional District. Senator Lisa Murkowski, a Republican, is facing a strong challenge from the Trump-endorsed Kelly Tshibaka. All rights reserved. Christine Zhang Gabe Vasquez, Democrat, wins U.S. House seat to represent New Mexicos Second Congressional District. Maggie Astor Chris Pappas, Democrat, wins re-election to the U.S. House to represent New Hampshires First Congressional District. . Nov. 8, 2022, Kentucky, a solidly red state, reelected Rand Paul to the Senate. Colorado Congresswoman Lauren Boebert (R-CO) is among a group of nearly a dozen far-right Republicans who have co-sponsored a House resolution that calls for an end of all U.S. military and financial aid to Ukraine. Laura Kelly, Democrat, is re-elected as governor of Kansas. Janet Mills of Maine. Nov. 9, 2022, Maryland and Missouri voted to legalize recreational marijuana for people 21 and older, while voters in Arkansas, North Dakota and South Dakota rejected similar measures. Montana voters rejected a proposal that would have required medical interventions to save those that the state defines as born alive infants. Rep. Lauren Boebert, R-Colo., addresses attendees at the Turning Point USA Student Action Summit in Tampa, Florida, on July 23, 2022. Michiganders are voting on abortion rights. The polls just closed in North Carolina, Ohio and West Virginia. , Elissa Slotkin, Democrat, wins re-election to the U.S. House to represent Michigans Seventh Congressional District. He further criticized the unchecked spending of U.S. taxpayer dollars toward a foreign war as this would exacerbate domestic issues during a time when, as he stated it, America is in a state of managed decline. Since the start of the war, the U.S. has approved several Ukrainian aid packages totaling more than $112 billion. Well also be watching competitive House races in N.C.-13 and Ohio-9. Lazaro Gamio The Associated Press also provides estimates for the share of votes reported, which are shown for races for which The Times does not publish its own estimates. (Win McNamee/Getty Images/Bloomberg via Getty Images). The close contest surprised many election observers; Boebert handily defeated a more moderate primary opponent in June and the Cook Political Report had rated the seat assolidly Republican before the election. , Emilia Sykes, Democrat, wins U.S. House seat to represent Ohios 13th Congressional District. Turn on desktop notifications for breaking stories about interest? , George Santos, Republican, wins U.S. House seat to represent New Yorks Third Congressional District. Democrat House Candidate Adam Frisch listens to incumbent U.S. Rep. Lauren Boebert during a debate at Colorado Mesa University as part of The Club 20 political conference in Grand Junction, Colorado, on Sept. 10, 2022. However, as the results came in, it became clear there would be more of a red trickle. Stacey Abrams has conceded to Brian Kemp, the Republican governor of Georgia. , The Hillbilly Elegy author and Republican J.D. Hans Mai is a reporter based in Washington, D.C. Nate Cohn Tony Evers won a second term as governor of Wisconsin, giving Democrats a foothold in a critical presidential battleground. , Marc Molinaro, Republican, wins U.S. House seat to represent New Yorks 19th Congressional District. Mutual Fund and ETF data provided by Refinitiv Lipper. Heres how they performed when compared with the 2020 presidential candidates. Maggie Astor Quotes displayed in real-time or delayed by at least 15 minutes. In a district that is historically Republican, unaffiliated voters comprise 44% of the electorate. By 9 p.m., the polls will have closed in a majority of states. Albert Sun Dareh Gregorian is a politics reporter for NBC News. Colorado US Rep Lauren Boebert has joined calls to delay votes among lawmakers for Senate and House leadership as number of races - including her own - remain too close to call.. Boebert "As this race comes down to every last vote, I need you to help us ensure we have the resources to finish what we started!" Lauren Boebert, incumbent in Colorados 3rd district, is in an unexpectedly close race in what was considered a safe Republican district. . Steve Sisolak, a Democrat who was criticized over pandemic-era shutdowns. Nov. 8, 2022. Nate Cohn Under Republicans, not another penny will go to Ukraine. Kathy Hochul claimed victory late Tuesday against Representative Lee Zeldin, a conservative Republican. Alicia Parlapiano "With this victory and with Republicans in control of the House of Representatives, we can focus on the issues that actually matter most, including getting inflation under control, increasing our domestic energy supply, securing the southern border, and being a strong check on the White House.". Representative Sean Patrick Maloney has conceded defeat to Mike Lawler, a first-term Republican state assemblyman. Although he is not well-known nationally, Frisch had raised a substantial amount of campaign cash as Democrats hoped to remove one of the most notorious MAGA Republicans in the House. In the counties where most of the vote is in, Senator Ron Johnson is running ahead of Trump. The former Aspen City Council member has received more than 15,000 . Frisch, a former Aspen City Council member whos a virtual unknown outside Colorado, came within striking distance of the right-wing star despite her having former President Donald Trumps backing in the Republican-leaning 3rd Congressional District, which covers much of the western half of Colorado and is largely rural. WASHINGTON, DC - JANUARY 05: U.S. Rep.-elect Lauren Boebert (R-CO) delivers remarks in the House Chamber during the third day of elections for Speaker of the House at the U.S. Capitol Building on . Nov. 10, 2022, As of noon Eastern time, Democrats have won 190 House seats, Republicans have won 208, and 37 are still undecided. 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